Ethiopia Set to Overtake Indonesia as the World’s Fourth Largest Coffee Producer Amid Record Production Growth

Ethiopia is poised to overtake Indonesia as the world’s fourth largest coffee producer in the 2026/27 marketing year, marking a shift in the global coffee industry and reinforcing the country’s emergence as one of the fastest growing coffee exporters in the world. According to the latest U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Coffee Annual report, Ethiopia’s coffee production is forecast to reach 12.1 million 60 kilogram bags in 2026/27, compared to Indonesia’s projected 11.38 million bags.
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Here is the daily commodity trade data from Ethiopia Commodity Exchange (ECX) for items traded on 08 May 2026.
